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prep for 3/22/13 (AAPL)

AAPL:

W2W4:

  • a close on 3 minute candle above initial 3 minute high.

  • first 5 minute candle

  • a pull-back post 10:00 > 2.50 could signal hod

  • needs to break hod on > 250K

  • for a neutral day to either become a bullish or bearish move it has to make new hod/lod on >  320K 3MVP.

  • 3MVP dropoff from 200K post 9:42 signals a change from bullish to neutral

  • ability to go > 1.82 below first 3 minute close is bearish)

  • ability to go > 3rd 15 minute candle volume on the candle following it signals volatility

  • max bounce 2.50

  • pull-backs > 2.84 off of hod equate to hod

L2W4:

  • 453.82 resistance level

  • 452.78 yesterday’s close (3/22/13)

  • 450.80 support

  • 450.12 key support level

  • 448.50 major support level

  • 454.35 – 454.44 resistance level

  • 455.94 – 456.28 resistance level

  • 457.12 – 457.98 key resistance level

  • 458.92 resistance level

  • 460 -469.69 resistance level

SCENARIOS:

Bullish: ability to extend > $1 by 9.36 w/o going < initial 3 minute low signals a bullish move that needs to target 455 by 9:45 w/holds > 454. ability to do that targets 456 – 457 by 10:00… if it is able to hold > 455 it signals 460.

Neutral Scenario: no new hod’s or lod’s post 10:00 – 11:00 signals a neutral day, which would need a volume surge > 250K on 3MVP to change the bias into either a bullish or bearish move.

Bearish Scenario: inability to extend > 1.20 above initial 3 minute high w/a reversal that results in a close below 1st 3 minute low by 9:42 signals a move to 451.50. If it is able to reach that target w/ holds below 453 then it targets 450.80 at which point it will have to hold below 452 to target a break below 450 w/a target of 448.50. Below that its 445’s.

Gap Up: avoid going > .70c below open w/ability to hold above 9.33’s low to signal a bullish move if it is able to extend and close a 3MVP > $1.20 by 9.36 – 9.39. By 9.42 needs to make new hod’s.

Gap Down: needs to avoid going > $1.20 above open price and has to not be able to advance beyond 1st 3 minute high if it is going to flush right away. To signal a flush right away it needs to extend > .68c below open price by 9.39 w/nlod’s by 9.42 and again inability to regain initial 3 minute high.

 

 

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