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AMZN:

• W2W4 (What to Watch for): 

1. First 15 minute candle close green with 180 – 200K vol to show potential for further extension.
2. Avoids going $1.10 below opening price
3. Needs to hold above 273 (below 273 – 270 and its neutral territory).

• L2W4 (Levels to Watch for):

1. 273.45 – 273.79 as a level of support for a bullish move.
2. 273 – 272.20 as a level of neutrality.
3. 274.60 as a resistance level which needs to be broken out to continue upwards.
4. 275.44 as a resistance level (3/8/13 high).
5. And of course daily resist. @ 276.68. (3/5/13 high)

SCENARIOS:

Bullish Scenario: AMZN avoids going $1.10 < opening price and goes > 274.60 w/ holds above 274 and 3MVP > 30K. If extends > 275.44 and holds > 274.60, then target is 276 – 276.68. If goes > 276.68 then target is 279 – 280’s.

Neutral Scenario: AMZN goes < 273 w/15 MVP < 180K and holds > 271.

Bearish Scenario: AMZN goes < the key support level of 270 w/15 MVP > than 180K.

CRM:

• W2W4 (What to Watch for): 

1. hold above 185.20 – 185.50’s
2. Breakout above 186
3. show 3 MVP > 20K and extend to the upside.
4. Also 184.478 was MP (Midpoint) of last week.

• L2W4 (Levels to Watch for): 

1. 185 – 185.50’s as support if it makes a move to all-time high.
2. 186.05 as a resistance level (friday’s high)
3. 187.47 as a resistance level (all-time high)

Bullish Scenario: closes > 186 w/3MVP > 20K by 10:00 and holds > 185.40’s – 186 to signal a test of all-time high (187.47). If breaks > 187.47 w/holds > 186.50’s it target’s 190’s.

Neutral Scenario: stays < 185.20’s and > 184 w/no more than 20K 3MVP post 10:00 – 15:00 on either green or red candles.

Bearish Scenario: goes < 184.00 w/more than 20K on 3MVP and holds < 184 – 184.50’s for rest of the day. Target under this scenario would be 183 – 182.

GOOG:

• W2W4 (What to Watch for) : 

1. $3.1 move below open price is bearish, avoidance of it is neutral/bullish
2.  Move $1 above first 15 minute close to show signs of bullishness.
3. Needs to hold above 829 – 830 to signal bullish move

• L2W4 (Levels to Watch for):

1. 829.80 – 830 as a MUST level of hold to show bullishness continuation. Why? It acted as major support last week and 829.98 was MP (Midpoint) of last week.
2. 834 – 834.50 as a resistance level.
3. 835.80’s – 836.57 as the next resistance level.

Bullish Scenario: GOOG avoids going < 829.80 – 830 and extends $1 > first 15 minute close w/3MVP > 35K. First target would be 834 – 834.50, and if it extends beyond that then 835.80’s – 836.57. Beyond that and its 840’s.

Neutral Scenario: GOOG stays within a range between 829.80 – 831.50 without ever going $1> first 15 minute close.

Bearish Scenario: GOOG goes < 829.80 and holds < 831.50 for w/3MVP > 35k which would first target a move back down to 827 and < 827 then it targets a move 825 – 822.

AAPL:

• W2W4 (What to Watch for):

1. back 2 back 175k 3mvp candles post 10:06 to signal volatility
2. ability to close $1 above initial 15 min close (bullish)
3. 400k 15mvp dropoff vs previous volume candle to signal volatility drop off post 10:00 (example: march 8th: 10:00-10:15 sequence had 1.07M 15mvp vs 10:15-10:30 sequence had 623k 15mvp AAPL traded in a $4.23 range the rest of the day)
4. ability to make 2 consecutive green 15 minute closes to show sign of continuation (ex: 3/5/13 @ 10:00 and 3/7/13 @ 10:30)
5. Extend beyond 433.08 by 10:00
6. 2+ 1 minute consecutive candles close above 435 to signal a sign of a breakout above 435

• L2W4 (Levels to Watch for): 

1. 429.98 (3/1/13 low) – 429.65 (key support level on 3/8/13) is a major support level. In fact, below this level and the bullish move is off for now.
2. Needs to extend beyond 437.66 ( last month’s low )

SCENARIOS:

Bullish Scenario: closes .92 or > above open by 9:36 with nhod by 9:39… needs $1 close > initial 15 min close… $2 or > above initial 9:33 high to signal additional $2 upside (at least)… 427.36-428.59 are super key supports… needs to move > 433.08 by 10:00 with 435 holds at 10:30 to target 438-441+

Bearish Scenario: needs $1.21 move < open price & > $1.85 close below initial 3 min low… must not close > open during 9:33-9:36 sequence w/extension below 1st 3 min low… need > 300k on pullbacks off highs to get follow thru downside… 433-435 rejects are bearish with 426-428 breakdown required to target 415-420… < 427 by 10:00 and its in trouble

Neutral Scenario: 3min volume candles <170k between 10:30-11:30

Gap Up: avoid going .72 < open price w/nhod’s by 9:39-9:42… in the event of pullback it must avoid closing < open price on 15 min chart… > 433 @ 9:45 w/435 hold by 9:55-10:00 and 440-445 is in play

Gap Down: must avoid going 1.19 > open price & need > .81 close < open on 1st 3 min close… rejects @ open/no ability to print > first 3 min hod… < 427 @ 9;45 w/428 failures & 420 is in play

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2. Stockhaven’s Trade Journal: Bullish bias on AMZN
3. Stockhaven’s Real Time Trade Journal From 1/14/13
4. I’m treating AAPL like earnings never came out
5. DeanSTrader: Listening To What The Market is Saying … (1/11/13)